Online report
30 October 2024
Vice President Kamala Harris retains a narrow lead in two critical "blue wall" states, crucial for her potential Electoral College victory over former President Donald Trump, according to recent CNN polls conducted by SSRS.
In Michigan, Harris leads Trump 48% to 43% among likely voters, while in Wisconsin, she holds a stronger advantage with 51% support compared to Trump’s 45%. The race in Pennsylvania is tighter, with both candidates tied at 48%, making it the largest electoral prize of the three states.
These states, which favored Trump in 2016 but were won by President Joe Biden in 2020, remain pivotal for both campaigns. Notably, of the seven states classified as tossups by CNN, only Michigan and Wisconsin still include Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. on the ballot—he suspended his independent campaign and endorsed Trump, currently holding 3% support in Michigan and 1% in Wisconsin.
Overall, Michigan shows the highest support for third-party candidates, with 6% of likely voters backing options beyond Harris and Trump. However, among highly motivated voters, support for Harris increases, with 51% backing her in Michigan and 52% in Wisconsin.
These results closely mirror earlier polling conducted in late summer, indicating Harris’s ongoing lead in both states, while the competition remains fierce in Pennsylvania.
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